Grosseto vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALB
1 - 1
GRO
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SER
2 - 1
GRO
40%
22%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
GRO
2 - 0
MPO
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +4 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
TUT
1 - 2
GRO
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 0
FOL
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 3
FOL
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
POM
1 - 1
BAS
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAS
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 5
ACA
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |