Grosseto vs Terranuova Traiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
9º
17º
13º
35
6º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
93% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
GRO
21%
21%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
FLA
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
GRO
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 2
ACS
54%
23%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OST
1 - 0
GRO
19%
22%
59%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Terranuova Traiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ATT
3 - 0
GHI
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ATT
1 - 1
ACS
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FLA
3 - 0
ATT
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ATT
0 - 0
GAV
11%
17%
72%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ORV
2 - 0
ATT
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |