Grosseto vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 0
GRO
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
GRO
2 - 1
PIA
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
GRO
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 1
TRE
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 1
ASC
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 4
PIS
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 1
SPE
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 0
MES
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
SPE
0 - 1
CHI
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |