Grosseto vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 1
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
REG
1 - 1
GRO
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 2
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 2
VER
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 1
SAS
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOC
0 - 1
ASC
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ASG
2 - 3
ASC
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |