Grosseto vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 0
GRO
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 3
LIV
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 1
GRO
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 1
EMP
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 1
GRO
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 0
CTT
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
VAR
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 1
VAR
19%
27%
54%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 3
LIV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
VAR
36%
29%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |