Grosseto vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TER
1 - 3
GRO
16%
25%
59%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 1
PIA
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 1
GRO
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 3
ACP
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FCV
0 - 0
GRO
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
REG
2 - 1
ANC
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
REG
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
REG
0 - 1
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIC
3 - 2
REG
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
REG
2 - 2
PAV
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |