Grosseto vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 1
ATL
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GRO
0 - 1
REG
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MOD
1 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
TRI
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
COM
1 - 2
ACP
68%
19%
12%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
CAR
21%
26%
53%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 4
ACP
37%
25%
37%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
FCC
70%
20%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACG
0 - 1
ACP
41%
26%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |