Grosseto vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PIS
0 - 0
GRO
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 1
PRO
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
GRO
3 - 4
PIA
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
GRO
3 - 1
ACI
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SSM
2 - 2
GRO
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAV
2 - 1
USI
60%
23%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 1
PAV
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 4
PES
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
PAV
3 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2006 |
PIZ
2 - 0
PAV
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |