Calcio Foggia vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
ASL
4 - 2
USF
30%
27%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
USF
2 - 1
CAV
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
USF
1 - 2
NUO
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
TAR
2 - 1
USF
31%
28%
40%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
USF
1 - 1
JUS
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
FOL
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 2
NOC
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SSB
0 - 2
VIR
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
ASL
53%
26%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |