Calcio Foggia vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
SOR
0 - 0
USF
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2004 |
USF
0 - 1
FER
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
USF
1 - 0
GIU
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 0
USF
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
USF
1 - 0
AVE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GIU
1 - 0
VIR
35%
28%
38%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
2 - 0
RIM
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 2
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIR
1 - 2
NAP
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |