Calcio Foggia vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
PES
4 - 1
USF
51%
28%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
USF
1 - 1
TER
63%
24%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
CAG
0 - 0
USF
66%
20%
15%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
USF
1 - 1
ASS
59%
26%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
USF
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
71%
20%
9%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
SPA
0 - 2
TAR
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 1
SPA
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
TER
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 2
SAM
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |