Calcio Foggia vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
0 - 0
USF
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
USF
1 - 2
SOR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 2
USF
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
USF
1 - 1
PIS
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2009 |
SOR
2 - 2
USF
35%
25%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
REA
2 - 1
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
REA
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
REA
0 - 1
CAV
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
PES
1 - 1
REA
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
TAR
1 - 0
REA
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |