Calcio Foggia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
USF
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
USF
2 - 1
REA
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SOR
0 - 0
USF
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
USF
1 - 2
SOR
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 2
USF
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 2
PAG
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TAR
2 - 0
PRG
32%
29%
40%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PRG
0 - 0
TER
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
JUS
1 - 3
PRG
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PRG
4 - 0
POT
58%
27%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |