Calcio Foggia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
MAN
3 - 0
USF
36%
32%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1969 |
USF
2 - 1
NAP
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
USF
4 - 1
COM
57%
27%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
USF
37%
31%
32%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAD
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
PRG
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |