Calcio Foggia vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
27%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
USF
41%
30%
30%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
LEC
1 - 1
USF
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
USF
2 - 1
MES
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
USF
2 - 1
PIS
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 1
USF
49%
27%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 1
REG
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAT
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
MES
0 - 1
NOV
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAR
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |