Coppa Italia Final
Global 4-1
Calcio Foggia vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
USF
4 - 1
COM
57%
27%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
USF
37%
31%
32%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 2
USF
60%
25%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
USF
44%
30%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
PAL
0 - 2
NAP
34%
31%
35%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
55%
26%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
SAM
0 - 2
NAP
39%
30%
31%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |