Calcio Foggia vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
12%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
CES
0 - 0
USF
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
USF
1 - 0
ASS
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
FCC
2 - 1
USF
29%
33%
37%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
USF
2 - 2
GEN
66%
23%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
USF
1 - 0
PIS
54%
27%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
MAN
42%
32%
27%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
MOD
68%
23%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
COM
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
46%
32%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |