Calcio Foggia vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
42.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
BRE
2 - 1
USF
66%
23%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
LIC
3 - 0
USF
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
USF
0 - 1
CAG
43%
29%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
PES
2 - 1
USF
73%
19%
8%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
USF
1 - 0
FCC
38%
32%
30%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
MES
1 - 1
LIC
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
PIS
2 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
MES
0 - 1
REG
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
TRI
0 - 0
MES
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
MES
1 - 1
PES
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |