Calcio Foggia vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USF
1 - 0
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
USF
14%
22%
65%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
2 - 0
USF
9%
14%
77%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
USF
0 - 0
CAT
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
USF
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 0
MAT
32%
26%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
FON
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 1
LEC
26%
24%
51%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MES
0 - 0
MAT
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
AKR
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |