Calcio Foggia vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
11.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
COS
3 - 0
USF
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1995 |
USF
2 - 1
GEN
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
CES
1 - 0
USF
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
USF
4 - 0
PIS
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
PAL
0 - 0
USF
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
VER
0 - 0
ASL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1995 |
ASL
2 - 1
BOL
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
FIA
0 - 0
ASL
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 0
AVE
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
COS
1 - 0
ASL
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |