Calcio Foggia vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
TAR
4 - 2
USF
38%
34%
28%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
USF
1 - 0
REG
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
BAR
1 - 1
USF
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
USF
2 - 1
GEN
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
PRG
1 - 1
USF
47%
31%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1972 |
LIV
2 - 1
BAR
30%
37%
33%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 1
LIV
53%
27%
21%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAT
28%
36%
36%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
LIV
1 - 1
PRG
27%
35%
37%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
LAZ
3 - 1
LIV
78%
17%
6%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |