Calcio Foggia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1981 |
USF
1 - 1
BAR
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
PES
3 - 2
USF
60%
25%
15%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
USF
1 - 0
ACM
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
RIM
1 - 0
USF
53%
29%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
USF
1 - 1
SAM
53%
27%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
VER
56%
29%
15%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
PIS
2 - 0
LEC
55%
30%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1981 |
LEC
0 - 0
LAZ
34%
32%
34%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
SAM
0 - 0
LEC
66%
22%
11%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 1
RIM
61%
26%
13%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |