Calcio Foggia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
19%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
CES
2 - 0
USF
43%
31%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
USF
1 - 1
PAL
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
USF
1 - 1
BRE
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
USF
39%
31%
30%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
USF
2 - 3
SSS
66%
23%
12%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 0
PES
58%
26%
17%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 1
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
GEN
2 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |