Calcio Foggia vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
USF
1 - 0
GIU
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 0
USF
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
USF
1 - 0
AVE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 3
USF
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
USF
0 - 1
SSS
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FER
0 - 0
SPA
38%
29%
33%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
FER
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
FER
2 - 4
SSS
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FER
2 - 0
NAP
20%
27%
53%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +2 |