Calcio Foggia vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
USF
1 - 3
ACI
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 2
USF
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
USF
0 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
USF
33%
26%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
USF
0 - 3
TER
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
FER
0 - 2
BEN
38%
28%
34%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PAT
1 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
FER
2 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
FER
53%
25%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FER
1 - 2
ACI
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |