Calcio Foggia vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
SAL
2 - 0
USF
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
FIA
3 - 0
USF
27%
25%
49%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
ASL
5 - 1
USF
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
COS
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
GEN
1 - 1
USF
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CAS
1 - 0
COS
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CAS
0 - 2
CES
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |