Calcio Foggia vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GAV
1 - 0
USF
18%
22%
59%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
NUO
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ISC
1 - 0
USF
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
USF
1 - 2
MES
68%
19%
12%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
USF
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
TER
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
APR
2 - 1
CAS
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIG
70%
19%
10%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 1
SOR
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |