Calcio Foggia vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1969 |
USF
1 - 3
ROM
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1969 |
CAG
2 - 3
USF
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
USF
1 - 1
FCC
64%
23%
12%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1969 |
USF
2 - 2
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
MOD
4 - 0
USF
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SAL
3 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |