Calcio Foggia vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
14.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
VAR
1 - 0
USF
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 1
USF
60%
25%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
USF
0 - 0
PAL
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
LAZ
4 - 1
USF
67%
22%
11%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
USF
2 - 1
PIS
45%
30%
25%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 0
SPA
65%
23%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
47%
30%
23%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 1
LAZ
54%
26%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 0
BRE
51%
29%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 2
LEC
69%
21%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |