Calcio Foggia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 1
USF
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
ASS
1 - 0
USF
47%
30%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
USF
1 - 3
CES
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
VIC
0 - 1
USF
55%
26%
18%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
USF
0 - 0
GEN
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
VAR
0 - 0
GEN
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
VAR
4 - 0
PIS
53%
27%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
VER
0 - 0
VAR
51%
29%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
VAR
2 - 2
SAM
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 1
VAR
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |