Calcio Foggia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
USF
4 - 2
ASS
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
USF
2 - 2
CAG
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
COM
0 - 0
USF
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 0
USF
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
USF
1 - 2
PES
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
VAR
2 - 0
PES
40%
29%
31%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
LAZ
2 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 1
ASC
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1980 |
VER
0 - 0
VAR
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
VAR
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |