Calcio Foggia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
NOV
2 - 0
USF
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
USF
1 - 1
VER
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
JUV
3 - 0
USF
87%
9%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
USF
4 - 1
MOD
73%
19%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
CAT
0 - 0
USF
47%
30%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 1
JUV
27%
29%
45%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
VAR
2 - 1
NOV
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
VER
0 - 0
VAR
62%
20%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 3
INT
15%
26%
59%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
VIC
0 - 4
VAR
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |