Calcio Foggia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
JUV
2 - 1
USF
70%
20%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
USF
1 - 1
INT
21%
25%
55%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
VIC
1 - 0
USF
59%
25%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
USF
2 - 2
SAM
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
FIO
3 - 0
USF
69%
21%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
VAR
1 - 1
SAM
42%
31%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
LAZ
0 - 0
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
VAR
0 - 0
FIO
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
VIC
3 - 1
VAR
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
INT
3 - 2
VAR
76%
17%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |