Calcio Foggia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
10%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
USA
1 - 0
USF
41%
31%
28%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
USF
1 - 1
BRE
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ATL
3 - 1
USF
46%
32%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
USF
1 - 0
BRI
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
USF
49%
30%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
REG
2 - 0
BRI
54%
28%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
PAR
1 - 1
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
REG
0 - 1
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
USA
0 - 0
REG
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
REG
0 - 1
VER
28%
33%
39%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |