Calcio Foggia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
EMP
3 - 0
USF
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
USC
1 - 1
USF
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
USF
1 - 0
REG
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
USF
3 - 4
TOR
32%
28%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
RAV
2 - 2
USF
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
USC
1 - 0
CES
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
CES
2 - 3
PAD
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
COS
1 - 0
CES
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
CES
1 - 1
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |