Calcio Foggia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
26.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
FCC
3 - 1
USF
52%
29%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
USF
2 - 3
GEN
52%
28%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
USF
2 - 1
ACM
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
LAZ
0 - 0
USF
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
FIO
4 - 1
USF
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
GEN
4 - 1
CES
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
CES
1 - 0
FCC
63%
25%
12%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
TOR
2 - 0
CES
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
CES
0 - 1
VER
53%
27%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NAP
3 - 1
CES
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |