Calcio Foggia vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 1
USF
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
FCC
63%
24%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 3
USF
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
PIS
1 - 1
USF
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
USF
1 - 0
ATL
44%
29%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
CES
1 - 1
REG
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 0
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
COM
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
FCC
1 - 0
CES
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
REG
0 - 0
CES
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |