US Esch vs Wiltz 71 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 0
ESC
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 0
USH
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ETZ
1 - 1
ESC
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 13
ESC
7%
13%
81%
|
53 | 9 | 44 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UME
0 - 4
ESC
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
MAM
71%
17%
12%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FFN
0 - 0
WIL
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 0
AVE
79%
13%
7%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LUN
0 - 3
WIL
9%
15%
77%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
USS
3 - 2
WIL
30%
23%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |