Cremonese vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
PIS
2 - 0
USC
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1983 |
USC
0 - 0
CAT
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1983 |
COM
0 - 0
USC
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 1
USC
51%
28%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
USC
4 - 0
BOL
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
TRI
3 - 1
PIS
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
TRI
1 - 1
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
PIS
2 - 1
TRI
40%
23%
38%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
TRI
0 - 1
BRE
78%
14%
9%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
ASC
4 - 2
TRI
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |