Cremonese vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PIA
3 - 0
USC
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
USC
3 - 3
CAR
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GER
2 - 1
USC
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
USC
1 - 1
PIA
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
USC
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
USA
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
USA
1 - 0
PIA
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ARZ
1 - 0
USA
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
USA
2 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 1
USA
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |