Cremonese vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 2
USC
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
USC
2 - 1
USA
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PAV
0 - 0
USC
50%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
USC
1 - 1
BV5
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CUN
0 - 0
USC
24%
28%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
USA
1 - 1
ACL
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
USC
2 - 1
USA
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
USA
0 - 1
ACM
12%
22%
66%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
CUN
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 2
USA
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |