Cremonese vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
19.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
25.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
PES
2 - 0
USC
49%
29%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
USC
1 - 0
BOL
57%
27%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
USC
1 - 1
GEN
55%
27%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 2
USC
40%
33%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
ARZ
43%
32%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 1
SSS
60%
27%
14%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
SSS
2 - 1
VIC
33%
32%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
SSS
54%
29%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
PIS
0 - 0
SSS
64%
25%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |