Cremonese vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
15%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
USC
3 - 1
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
PAL
0 - 0
USC
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
USC
3 - 2
EMP
50%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 1
USC
44%
30%
25%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
USC
0 - 0
COM
54%
29%
18%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 0
PIS
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
PES
3 - 1
CAV
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 1
COM
44%
32%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 0
CAV
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
EMP
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |