Cremonese vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
USA
1 - 0
USC
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
USC
5 - 1
ASG
78%
16%
6%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
LIV
1 - 0
USC
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
USC
2 - 1
ATL
64%
19%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VAR
5 - 1
USC
34%
26%
39%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
0 - 0
ASS
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BV5
2 - 3
SPA
19%
24%
56%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 3
TRA
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
SPA
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
USF
0 - 3
SPA
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |