Cremonese vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SPE
0 - 0
USC
38%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
USC
0 - 1
PIA
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 3
USC
23%
27%
50%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
USC
1 - 0
ASA
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
USC
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SIR
1 - 0
FER
68%
21%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPE
1 - 1
SIR
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SIR
2 - 0
TRI
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
SIR
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SIR
0 - 0
LAT
64%
23%
14%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |