Cremonese vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ASS
3 - 0
USC
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
PRG
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 1
USC
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACL
0 - 0
USC
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
VAR
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
ACL
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 0
COM
73%
19%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ASF
2 - 1
PRO
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 2
USA
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |