Cremonese vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
24%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
CAM
1 - 1
USC
41%
29%
31%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
ATL
1 - 1
USC
43%
31%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
USC
2 - 0
LEC
56%
27%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
USF
2 - 1
USC
42%
30%
28%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
USC
0 - 1
LAZ
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 0
USF
55%
29%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
REG
2 - 1
PRG
40%
31%
29%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
32%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
LEC
0 - 0
PRG
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
BOL
3 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |