Cremonese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
32%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
37.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
TOR
2 - 0
USC
75%
19%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
NAP
3 - 0
USC
82%
14%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
USC
2 - 1
GEN
30%
33%
38%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
USC
0 - 1
SAM
17%
27%
56%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
ROM
3 - 0
USC
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 0
GEN
45%
31%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 1
NAP
23%
30%
48%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAR
44%
30%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 0
LAZ
45%
31%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 1
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |