Cremonese vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
19º
2º
8
5º
20º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
11 | 77 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 66 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 66 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 62 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
20º
|
3 | 59 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 59 |
6º
|
6% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 58 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 56 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 55 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 54 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 52 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 52 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 50 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 49 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 46 |
15º
|
11.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 43 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 43 |
17º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 35 |
18º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 33 |
19º
|
23% | |
|
19º
|
3 | 29 |
20º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30.5% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
56.5% | 48.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 37.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
USC
1 - 0
CAR
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NUO
1 - 0
USC
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
USC
1 - 0
ACL
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
USC
3 - 2
TRE
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 0
PAL
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OXF
0 - 2
PAL
35%
24%
40%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
LEI
0 - 1
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |