Cremonese vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
CES
1 - 0
USC
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
USC
3 - 2
REG
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 2
USC
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
USC
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
USC
1 - 2
RAV
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
NOV
3 - 1
ACL
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 0
NOV
36%
29%
36%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 1
SPA
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
VER
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |